Checklist:
Seven Questions to Ask Before You Attack
(Published
in the May, 2005 issue of Campaigns & Elections Magazine)
Matt Lewis
Most winning political experts
agree on one thing: You can’t beat an incumbent without attacking
the incumbent. Elections are about choices, and just talking about your
positive attributes isn’t enough to persuade the voters to “fire”
a public servant on Election Day.
But as the saying goes: “When you point a finger at someone, there
are three fingers pointing back at you.” Launching a credible and
effective attack that will not backfire is a tricky maneuver few operatives
have mastered.
So how can you make sure you are covering all the bases? Before launching
a political attack, ask yourself these seven questions:
-
Have you established enough credibility?
When Democrat Janet Roberts ran against incumbent U.S. Rep. Mark Kennedy
for U.S. House in Minnesota in 2002, she came out of nowhere and immediately
began launching scathing negative attacks against him. While it is true
that challengers must attack their incumbent opponents, they must also
give voters a reason to vote for them. Had Roberts laid the groundwork
before her by presenting a positive agenda, her campaign would likely
have been more effective. (She lost to Kennedy 57 percent to 35 percent.)
Bottom line: Before launching an attack, your candidate must build up
some residual “positive” political capital.
- Is
your candidate guilty of the same thing?
As former Speaker Newt Gingrich found out, voters will forgive many
indiscretions but they will not forgive hypocrisy. In the case of the
President Bill Clinton impeachment, the president survived the scandal
– but Gingrich lost his job when fellow Republicans abandoned
him in part because of news of marital indiscretions. Lesson learned:
If you’re guilty of the same thing as your opponent – no
matter how tempting the juicy information is – you cannot use
it. As the cliché says, “People who live in glass houses
should not throw stones.”
- Can
you confirm the accusation?
“Leaking” information to the press is one thing. If you’re
going to directly attack your opponent you had better be able to back
up the attack with facts. Internet research is a great place to start
the research process. However, before launching an attack, you must
have a document in hand to back up your findings. According to long-time
political researcher Terry Cooper, even highly credible publications
such as Congressional Quarterly can contain errors.
“Blogs
and sources that don't have the established credibility of CQ must be
checked even more thoroughly,” he said.
-
Is it believable?
Sometimes incumbents are so popular that especially harsh attacks against
them (even if they are true) will backfire. In 1988, Republican candidate
George Voinovich’s campaign accused U.S. Sen. Howard Metzenbaum,
D-Ohio, of being “soft” on child pornography. The ad backfired
because voters could not bring themselves to believe the “grandfatherly”
Metzenbaum would possibly be on the wrong side of such a serious issue.
Before launching the attack, ask yourself, “Will the folks in
my district believe this”?
- Will
anyone care?
Dick Morris says “the toughest thing in politics is to be an insider
and think like an outsider.”
He is right. Those
of us who work in politics must constantly remind ourselves to ask why
the average person should care about this? Complicating the matter is
the fact that this answer will change depending on when and where you
ask the question. A candidate in Kansas may score points by accusing
his opponent of being a carpet-bagger. But the same exact argument in
New York City or Florida, places full of transplants, would probably
fall flat on its face.
- Do
you know why your opponent did it?
The first thing they teach you in law school is to never ask a question
that you do not already know the answer to. The same is true in politics.
Say your candidate wants to attack his opponent for missing votes. He
might accuse his incumbent opponent of not showing up for work 30 percent
of the time. That would be a good attack, unless the incumbent answered,
“Yes, I did miss a lot of votes, because my wife was dying of
cancer.”
- Was
the evidence obtained legally?
Too often, the media prints illegally obtained information. Most of
the time, the fact that it was obtained illegally is merely an afterthought.
That doesn’t change the fact that it’s unethical and if
you are caught using it you might go to jail.
If you have a friend
who works in courthouse and says he can get you your opponent’s
sealed divorce records, do not do it. Not only is it wrong, but also
information gained through unethical campaigning almost never makes
a difference in the outcome of the election.
If you’ve answered
yes to all these questions, then proceed with caution. The purpose of
this list is not to talk you out of attacking – nor is it to foster
the so-called, “paralysis of analysis.” It is to make sure
your attacks are prudent and effective.
Political campaigns
are fast-paced and stressful. You will feel pressure from various angles:
the candidate, his supporters, and of course yourself. When the
bullets start flying, refer to this checklist.
Asking yourself these seven questions may just earn you and your candidate
respect and greatly enhance your chances for victory.
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